{"id":1362,"date":"2015-04-08T20:35:49","date_gmt":"2015-04-09T00:35:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/?p=1362"},"modified":"2025-08-05T19:32:19","modified_gmt":"2025-08-06T01:32:19","slug":"arties-law-avoid-bad-advice-and-dont-follow-mission-impossible-advice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2015\/04\/08\/1362\/arties-law-avoid-bad-advice-and-dont-follow-mission-impossible-advice\/","title":{"rendered":"Artie\u2019s Law: Avoid Bad Advice and Don\u2019t Follow \u2018Mission Impossible\u2019 Advice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this day and age, few truly broad spectrum antibiotics are in development, although this does not hold true for narrow-spectrums.\u00a0 Just think of all the MRSA drugs (quinolones, FabI inhibitors), the pseudomonas drugs (NCEs and monoclonals) or some narrow spectrum drugs that will need to be tested in MDR pathogen infections.<\/p>\n<p>Almost gone are the days of indication-based antibiotic development, although FDA Guidances still make you believe the indication-driven approach is the main one leading to approval.\u00a0 Instead, pathogen-driven development is now the norm, and it creates some very difficult problems:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Where to find patients with infection causes by a specific pathogen<\/li>\n<li>How to enrich study populations for these pathogens if rapid diagnostic tests are not available<\/li>\n<li>How to establish outcome criteria when different sites are involved\u00a0with a particular pathogen<\/li>\n<li>What is a suitable comparator drug when it is unlikely that the pathogen under study is susceptible to both<\/li>\n<li>How to blind against SoC, i.e., a cocktail of drugs that is likely required against MDR pathogens<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>There are no easy answers, and it takes much thought and planning to address these problems\u00a0and to find workable solutions.\u00a0 Worse, every drug seems to require its own fairly unique testing scenario\u00a0which has\u00a0to be discussed and agreed-to by Regulators.\u00a0 Despite the great\u00a0need for new drugs, showing their efficacy in patients with highly resistant populations is not straight-forward.<\/p>\n<div class=\"simplePullQuote right\"><p><strong><span style=\"color: #000080\">EXAMPLE<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<span style=\"color: #000080\">A new drug with specific activity against P. aeruginosa is much needed, hence the attractiveness of LpxC inhibitors and POL7080.\u00a0 But how to prove efficacy when therapy for P. aeruginosa is typically initiated as a combination regimen?\u00a0 Admittedly, the benefit of combination over monotherapy has never been proven beyond doubt but it is established clinical practice and supported by practice guidelines.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993366\">Are we to evaluate a new anti-pseudomonal in combination with an aminoglycoside?\u00a0 This would fly in the face of the often-made argument that (1) concomitant antibiotics with overlapping activity invalidate a case for efficacy determination; (2) even short courses of non-study antibiotics can profoundly affect the outcome; and (3) such therapy would lead to regression towards the mean and slant outcomes towards non-inferiority, resulting in a Type II error.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>One often hears from KOLs that finding patients with a specific MDR profile is doable.\u00a0 Take CRE as an example: these organisms are no longer uncommon in India, Greece, Italy, Spain and some other locales where antibiotic stewardship is successfully avoided. According to the literature, these pathogens are popping up everywhere, including the US <a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>.\u00a0 Only problem: there are not enough cases yet in the USA to even consider a traditional randomized trial of a new antibiotic against SoC<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>.\u00a0 If you do, you do it at your own risk.<\/p>\n<p>Remember what happened to Advanced Life Sciences (ALS).\u00a0 They tried to conduct a study showing that cethromycin (Restanza\u00ae) has clinical activity against erythromycin-R respiratory pathogens.\u00a0 The FDA had asked for \u201ca superiority trial design comparing Restanza to a marketed macrolide antibiotic\u201d in not one but two trials <a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a>. \u00a0\u00a0Did KOLs convince ALS that such a trial was feasible?\u00a0 Well, the new Phase 3 study did not make it very far because ALS ran out of money in the futile attempt to pull off \u2018mission impossible\u2019.\u00a0 Only a few months after the proud announcement that \u2018agreement with FDA on a Phase 3 study design\u2019 had been reached in the form of a Special Protocol Assessment (SPA), they threw in the towel <a href=\"#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\">[4]<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Some may still remember the difficulties Ortho \/ J&amp;J had in the 90s trying to enroll patients with penicillin-resistant (PCN-R) S. pneumoniae.\u00a0 The goal was to show that ofloxacin had good activity against these strains; based on MICs, this would seem a foregone conclusion. However, it took many years to collect such cases despite the fact that PCN-R S. pneumoniae was all over the news.\u00a0 Turns out that most PCN-R strains were found in pediatric populations, not in adults.\u00a0 And because we cannot expose children to fluoroquinolones, this study did not go anywhere fast.<\/p>\n<p>Now Achaogen has set out to lift a similarly heavy load: \u00a0they embarked on a Phase 3 study comparing plazomicin to colistin in CRE-infected patients <a href=\"#_ftn5\" name=\"_ftnref5\">[5]<\/a>.\u00a0 Their lofty goal (360 patients) is certainly ambitious, to the point of appearing unrealistic.\u00a0 But hey, who is to say they won\u2019t succeed where others failed?\u00a0 Nonetheless, I smell the good but self-serving advice of KOLs and the purist demands of regulators emanating from this endeavor.<\/p>\n<p>Follow Artie\u2019s Law <a href=\"#_ftn6\" name=\"_ftnref6\">[6]<\/a> that says: Avoid bad advice but certainly don\u2019t follow \u2018Mission Impossible\u2019 advice.<\/p>\n<p>Also, don\u2019t forget Lasagna\u2019s Law <a href=\"#_ftn7\" name=\"_ftnref7\">[7]<\/a> which states that the \u201cincidence of patient availability sharply decreases when a study begins and returns to its original level as soon as a study is completed\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>And then there is also Muench\u2019s Third law \u2026<\/p>\n<p><strong>References:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" name=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a> Gupta\u00a0 CID 53: 60, 2011<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref2\" name=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a> Temkin\u00a0 Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2014; 1323: 22<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref3\" name=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a> http:\/\/www.ukmi.nhs.uk\/applications\/ndo\/record_view_open.asp?newDrugID=4445<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref4\" name=\"_ftn4\">[4]<\/a> http:\/\/www.fiercebiotech.com\/story\/cash-shortage-puts-advanced-life-sciences-ice\/2011-05-06<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref5\" name=\"_ftn5\">[5]<\/a> https:\/\/clinicaltrials.gov\/ct2\/show\/NCT01970371?term=Achaogen&amp;rank=1<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref6\" name=\"_ftn6\">[6]<\/a> Don\u2019t look it up, I made it up<br \/>\n<a href=\"#_ftnref7\" name=\"_ftn7\">[7]<\/a> http:\/\/www.appliedclinicaltrialsonline.com\/improving-clinical-trial-enrollment-forecasts-using-sorm<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In this day and age, few truly broad spectrum antibiotics are in development, although this does not hold true for narrow-spectrums.\u00a0 Just think of all the MRSA drugs (quinolones, FabI inhibitors), the pseudomonas drugs (NCEs and monoclonals) or some narrow spectrum drugs that will need to be tested in MDR <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2015\/04\/08\/1362\/arties-law-avoid-bad-advice-and-dont-follow-mission-impossible-advice\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">  Artie\u2019s Law: Avoid Bad Advice and Don\u2019t Follow \u2018Mission Impossible\u2019 Advice<\/span><span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1365,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[18],"tags":[172,810,792,403,914,915,808,177,363,926,925,221,717,99,523,924,913,922,204,917,920,83,921,916,918,170,923,196,919,807],"class_list":["post-1362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the_viewpoint","tag-achaogen","tag-advanced-life-sciences","tag-als","tag-antibiotic-blog","tag-arties-law","tag-carbapenem-resistance","tag-cethromycin","tag-colistin","tag-cre","tag-development-of-mdr-pathogen-antibiotics","tag-development-of-narrow-spectrum-antibiotics","tag-erythromycin","tag-fabi-inhibitor","tag-fda-guidance","tag-jj","tag-ketolide","tag-lasagnas-law","tag-lpxc-inhibitors","tag-mdr-pathogens","tag-mdr-s-pneumonia","tag-monoclonal-antibodies","tag-mrsa","tag-muenchs-third-law","tag-ofloxacin","tag-ortho","tag-plazomicin","tag-pol7080","tag-pseudomonas","tag-quinolones","tag-restanza"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/04\/Mission-Impossible-slider.jpg?fit=640%2C180&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4KWFr-lY","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":269,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2014\/06\/16\/269\/the-antibiotic-pipeline-how-new-is-new\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":0},"title":"The Antibiotic Pipeline: How \u201cNew\u201d is New","author":"Harald","date":"June 16, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"In a recent \u2018Viewpoint\u2019 article, Dr. Fauci, Director of NIAID,\u00a0mentioned that \"industry has expanded the pipeline of new antibacterial drugs...with 14-agents currently in phase 3 clinical trials\".[1] Regarding the number of drugs in late development, his statement may be correct but many of these drugs are anything but new.\u00a0 Reviewing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Viewpoint&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Viewpoint","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/the_viewpoint\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/new-3-pipelines.jpg?fit=640%2C200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/new-3-pipelines.jpg?fit=640%2C200&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/new-3-pipelines.jpg?fit=640%2C200&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":378,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2014\/06\/23\/378\/fighting-p-aeruginosa-part-i\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":1},"title":"Fighting P. aeruginosa (Part I)","author":"Harald","date":"June 23, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"It has never been easy to cure Pseudomonas aeruginosa infections.\u00a0 Few antibiotics nowadays have reliable activity against this problem pathogen that seems to have more built-in resistance features than most other Gram-negatives.\u00a0 In the past, cephalosporins, aztreonam, penems, ciprofloxacin, and aminoglycosides were useful drugs with reliably cidal activity, especially when\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The News&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The News","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/the_news\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"PA-01 on Agar","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/PA-01-on-Agar-300x274.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1332,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2015\/03\/28\/1332\/drugs-with-qidp-designation-update-3282015\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":2},"title":"Drugs with QIDP Designation \u2013 Update 4\/8\/2015","author":"Harald","date":"March 28, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"For the latest QIDP listing, please click HERE Our latest internet search came up with 37 drugs that garnered QIDP status.\u00a0 They are listed in the Table below (if I missed a compound, please leave a comment!!). \u00a0The\u00a0table is searchable so you should be able to massage the data to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;QIDP Antibiotics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"QIDP Antibiotics","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/qidp_antibiotic\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"APPC + QIDP copy","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/APPC-QIDP-copy.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/APPC-QIDP-copy.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/APPC-QIDP-copy.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":445,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2014\/07\/02\/445\/why-the-next-novel-antibiotic-will-cost-40k-or-more\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":3},"title":"Why The Next Novel Antibiotic Will Be A Blockbuster And Cost $40k","author":"Harald","date":"July 2, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Looking at all antibiotics in the pipeline, I can\u2019t help but think that \u2013 by 2018 \u2013 there\u00a0will be\u00a0some blockbuster anti-infectives coming to the market. Why do I say this?\u00a0 What is going to generate this revenue stream for companies when the new crop of drugs will be restricted by\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Viewpoint&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Viewpoint","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/the_viewpoint\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"pills","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/07\/pills-300x225.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2563,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2016\/06\/22\/2563\/progress-report-new-antibacterials-in-the-fight-against-mdr-bacteria\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":4},"title":"Progress Report: New Antibacterials In the Fight against MDR Bacteria","author":"Harald","date":"June 22, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Since the beginning of this millennium we have seen antibiotic R&D dwindle year after year. There are many reasons for this; while economics are often cited for this decline, the FDA and the \u2018Guideline Wars\u2019, i.e., those never ending discussions about regulatory requirements, have contributed to this trend in a\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Recent Literature&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Recent Literature","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/recent_literature\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Pipeline - slider","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Pipeline-slider.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Pipeline-slider.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Pipeline-slider.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":3116,"url":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/2017\/01\/30\/3116\/txa-709-kid-qidp-block\/","url_meta":{"origin":1362,"position":5},"title":"TXA-709 &#8211;\u00a0 New Kid on the Block","author":"Harald","date":"January 30, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"When searching for FtsZ inhibitors on PubMed, there are 187 hits. When narrowing down the search looking for clinical trials only, there are none. Taxis Pharmaceuticals obtained QIDP status for its candidate drug TXA-709 in late 2016 and it is still in preclinical testing. The drug\u2019s target, bacterial replication machinery\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;QIDP Antibiotics&quot;","block_context":{"text":"QIDP Antibiotics","link":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/category\/qidp_antibiotic\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/FtsZ-slider.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/FtsZ-slider.jpg?resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/01\/FtsZ-slider.jpg?resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1362","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1362"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1362\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4879,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1362\/revisions\/4879"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1365"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1362"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1362"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/allphasepharma.com\/dir\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1362"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}